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Category Archives: Investing
Laughing So Hard It Hertz
Hertz, the Superstar in Rent-a-Car, filed for bankruptcy on May 22nd. That’s when the fun began. Hertz stock, henceforth to be known as HTZ, fell to 56 cents on May 26th, the business day after its Chapter 11 filing. Then, HTZ ascended like Icarus. It hit a high of 6.25 and closed at 5.53 on June 8th. I wrote about it in The Spin, my newsletter. I talked about HTZ bond prices, the bonds’ senior claim to the equity in bankruptcy and the likelihood that HTZ stock was worthless. I thought I was done, but no. It got better. Continue reading
Puzzling Over Equity
The stock market is a continually changing puzzle. Momentum and quality have ruled the last several years. Whither value? Emerging markets? Small caps? Continue reading
Posted in Emerging Markets, Equities, Investing
Tagged Emerging Markets, Equities, Investing
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A Short Sharp Shock?
These fevered times bring back memories. For the first time since the seventies, we are facing a supply shock, a non-financial threat to our economy, While the Fed has responded already, it’s not the response we will ultimately need. Continue reading
We Need to Talk About the Yield Curve
What is the yield curve and why should I care? The yield curve is a graph of the yields that government bonds are paying, arranged in order of time to maturity. You should care because the cost of mortgages, bank … Continue reading
Posted in Asset Allocation, Bonds, Equities, Investing
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It’s Time For Predictions; I Don’t Play That
Here we are at the start of a new year and a new decade. Is it really a new decade? Personally, I’m the sort who starts counting at one, not zero, but I’ll go along and say it is a … Continue reading
Posted in Asset Allocation, Equities, Investing
Tagged Asset Allocation, Equities, Forecasts, Investing
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Fire and Ice
Some say the world will end in fire, Some say in ice. From what I’ve tasted of desire I hold with those who favor fire. But if it had to perish twice, I think I know enough of hate To … Continue reading
Posted in Banks, Bonds, Central banks, Credit, Economics, Finance, Investing, The Fed
Tagged Banks, Economics, Interest Rates, Investing, The Fed
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Diversification’s Gold Standard
I am an advisor with a past, a past managing global bond funds. For over twenty years, I invested in a vast array of markets and bond sectors around the globe. These included sectors like high yield and emerging markets … Continue reading
Posted in Asset Allocation, Equities, Investing, Market Cycles, Rates, Volatility
Tagged Asset Allocation, Economics, Equities, Investing, Rates
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Man Plans, and God Laughs.
Der mentsh trakht un got lakht. — Yiddish proverb Winston Churchill believed that he had limited time. His father, Lord Randolph Churchill, had died just shy of his 46th birthday. Sir Winston lived into his 91st year, smoking cigars and … Continue reading
Does/Should the Fed Care About the Stock Market?
Once upon a time, in another millennium, I worked at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. It was during the reign of Chairman Volcker, first of his name. One thing I did was prepare statistical packages for the officers … Continue reading
Collecting Is Not Investing
When I was 17, on the cusp of driving age, I had dinner at a friend’s house. I remember this particular dinner because of the question his dad asked me. This friend’s family was wealthier than most of those I … Continue reading
Posted in Investing
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The Market Cyclist 